FlowDAS: A Stochastic Interpolant-based Framework for Data Assimilation

Siyi Chen, Yixuan Jia, Qing Qu, He Sun, Jeffrey A. Fessler

Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 38 (NeurIPS 2025) Main Conference Track

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman Filter, Particle Filter) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in practice, while purely data-driven solvers learn a deterministic mapping between observations and states and therefore miss the intrinsic stochasticity of real processes. Recently, score-based diffusion models have shown promise for DA by learning a global diffusion prior to represent stochastic dynamics. However, their one-shot generation lacks stepwise physical consistency and struggles with complex stochastic processes. To address these issues, we propose FlowDAS, a generative DA framework that employs stochastic interpolants to learn state transition dynamics through step-by-step stochastic updates. By incorporating observations into each transition, FlowDAS can produce stable, measurement-consistent forecasts. Experiments on Lorenz-63, Navier–Stokes super-resolution/sparse-observation scenarios, and large-scale weather forecasting—where dynamics are partly or wholly unknown—show that FlowDAS surpasses model-driven methods, neural operators, and score-based baselines in accuracy and physical plausibility. Our implementation is available at https://github.com/umjiayx/FlowDAS.