Finite-Dimensional Approximation of Gaussian Processes

Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate, Christopher K. I. Williams, Manfred Opper

Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 11 (NIPS 1998)

Gaussian process (GP) prediction suffers from O(n3) scaling with the data set size n. By using a finite-dimensional basis to approximate the GP predictor, the computational complexity can be reduced. We de(cid:173) rive optimal finite-dimensional predictors under a number of assump(cid:173) tions, and show the superiority of these predictors over the Projected Bayes Regression method (which is asymptotically optimal). We also show how to calculate the minimal model size for a given n. The calculations are backed up by numerical experiments.